NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Bills vs. Titans
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 209.5 (-110) after it opened @ 217.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 56.9% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 33.9 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
212
Passing Yards
212
Passing Yards
