Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Titans vs. Chargers
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (+110/-143).
The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (+110) after it opened @ 217.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- Ryan Tannehill has been among the most effective passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.56 yards-per-target while grading out in the 87th percentile.
- The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 9th-least yards in football (just 208.0 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
261
Passing Yards
261
Passing Yards
