Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mitchell Trubisky from EV Insight

Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards

Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 217.5 (-131) after it opened @ 222.5 (-115).

Pros

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
The New England Patriots have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mitchell Trubisky has attempted just 6.7 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile among QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the league.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the weakest passers in football since the start of last season, averaging 36.0 yards per game while grading out in the 18th percentile.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a 56.2% Completion%, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
236
Passing Yards