Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mac Jones from EV Insight

Mac JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Mac Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 214.5 (-110) after it opened @ 209.5 (-115).

Pros

Mac Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with an impressive 68.4% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Mac Jones has been among the most efficient passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.49 yards-per-target while checking in at the 75th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Cons

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 60.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 33.2 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.

Projection

THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards