Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mac Jones from EV Insight

Mac JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Mac Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-110) after it opened @ 237.5 (-114).

Pros

The Patriots have been the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Mac Jones’s throwing precision has improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 64.7% to 72.4%.

Cons

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
282
Passing Yards