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Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Lamar Jackson from EV Insight

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Lamar Jackson

Lamar JacksonPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Bengals vs. Ravens

Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

  • The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons

  • The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.22 seconds per play.
  • Lamar Jackson has attempted a measly 27.9 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among QBs.
  • Lamar Jackson has been among the worst passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 192.0 yards per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 201.0 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

Projection
THE BLITZ
267
Passing Yards

Previous Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Calvin Ridley from EV Insight Next Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight