Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Raiders vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 250.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 250.5 (-120) after it opened @ 254.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 37.8 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
Cons
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 206.0 per game) against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season.
- The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 6.99 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in football.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the league.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
268
Passing Yards
268
Passing Yards
