Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenny PickettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Steelers vs. Browns
Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 203.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 203.5 (-110) after it opened @ 201.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
- Kenny Pickett’s throwing efficiency has worsened this year, notching a mere 5.34 yards-per-target vs a 6.70 mark last year.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-least yards in football (just 192.0 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in football vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season (65.4%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
238
Passing Yards
238
Passing Yards
