Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 203.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 203.5 (-110) after it opened @ 201.5 (-110).

Pros

The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Kenny Pickett’s throwing efficiency has worsened this year, notching a mere 5.34 yards-per-target vs a 6.70 mark last year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-least yards in football (just 192.0 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in football vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season (65.4%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
238
Passing Yards