Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Justin HerbertPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Titans vs. Chargers
Right now, Justin Herbert’s passing yards prop is set at 290.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 290.5 (-110) after it opened @ 286.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.2 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
- Justin Herbert has been among the top quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 277.0 yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
Cons
- The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Projection
THE BLITZ
285
Passing Yards
285
Passing Yards
