Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Josh AllenPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Bills vs. Raiders
Right now, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is set at 259.5 yards (-114/-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 69.2% pass rate.
- Josh Allen has attempted 36.9 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
- Josh Allen has been among the top passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 271.0 yards per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
- Josh Allen has been among the most effective QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.66 yards-per-target while grading out in the 90th percentile.
Cons
- The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Buffalo Bills have run the 7th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
- The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
299
Passing Yards
299
Passing Yards
