Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love from EV Insight

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-109/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 211.5 (-125) after it opened @ 212.5 (-115).

Pros

The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jordan Love has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.61 yards-per-target while grading out in the 84th percentile.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 9th-most yards in the league (228.0 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.44 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in football.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
268
Passing Yards