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Chris Meaney
Joe BurrowPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Bengals vs. Ravens
Right now, Joe Burrow’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 260.5 (-110) after it opened @ 266.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Joe Burrow has been among the leading QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 278.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (238.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.47 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
313
Passing Yards
313
Passing Yards
