Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joe Burrow from EV Insight

Joe BurrowPassing Yards

Right now, Joe Burrow’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 260.5 (-110) after it opened @ 266.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Joe Burrow has been among the leading QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 278.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (238.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.

Cons

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.47 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
313
Passing Yards