Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jimmy Garoppolo from EV Insight

Jimmy GaroppoloPassing Yards

Right now, Jimmy Garoppolo’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 232.5 (-110) after it opened @ 229.5 (-110).

Pros

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 37.0 passes this week, on average: the 10th-most of all quarterbacks.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with a stellar 67.8% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 8.20 yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown strong efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 7.15 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
268
Passing Yards