Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Deshaun Watson from EV Insight

Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards

Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 222.5 (-114) after it opened @ 205.5 (-114).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.89 yards-per-target: the most in the league.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.7 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in the league vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (65.5%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards