Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Steelers vs. Browns
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 222.5 (-114) after it opened @ 205.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.89 yards-per-target: the most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.7 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL.
- Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in the league vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (65.5%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards
220
Passing Yards
