Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 213.5 yards (-113/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 213.5 (-113) after it opened @ 204.5 (-115).

Pros

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target QBs in football since the start of last season with a terrific 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 90th percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in football vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season (73.3%).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.89 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in football.

Cons

The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.1 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards