Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cowboys vs. Jets
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 214.5 (-113) after it opened @ 225.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 198.0 per game) vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards
245
Passing Yards
