Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Aaron JonesRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Packers vs. Lions
Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 14.0 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
- Aaron Jones has garnered 51.5% of his team’s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.
- Aaron Jones has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
- The Detroit Lions defense owns the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.41 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 6th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
