Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 195.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 195.5 (-131) after it opened @ 199.5 (-115).

Pros

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 216.0 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Cleveland Browns defense this year (67.6%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
210
Passing Yards