WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Zonovan KnightRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Seahawks vs. Jets
Right now, Zonovan Knight’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (158 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
- The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.1% run rate.
- The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
- The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards
65
Rushing Yards
