Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Zack Moss from EV Insight

Zack MossRushing Yards

Right now, Zack Moss’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-120).

Pros

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to accumulate 17.4 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Zack Moss to be a more integral piece of his offense’s rushing attack this week (66.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.6% in games he has played).
Zack Moss’s running efficiency has improved this season, compiling 4.65 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.87 rate last season.
The New York Giants defense owns the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.35 yards-per-carry.

Cons

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup quarterback Nick Foles in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards