Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Seahawks vs. Jets
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 35.6% run rate.
- The Seattle Seahawks have called the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.2 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
- The New York Jets defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering just 4.16 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
95
Rushing Yards
95
Rushing Yards
