NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Hassan HaskinsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Titans vs. Cowboys
Right now, Hassan Haskins’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (-115) after it opened @ 55.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Hassan Haskins to garner 16.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
- THE BLITZ projects Hassan Haskins to be a more important option in his team’s running game this week (52.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.6% in games he has played).
- The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons
- The Tennessee Titans will be forced to start backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.8 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
