Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Titans vs. Cowboys
Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 66.5 (-142) after it opened @ 71.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to garner 17.8 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
- Ezekiel Elliott has run for many more yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).
Cons
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the NFL (just 80 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
- The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 5th-best group of DEs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards
75
Rushing Yards
