Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Ezekiel Elliott from EV Insight

Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards

Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 66.5 (-142) after it opened @ 71.5 (-110).

Pros

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to garner 17.8 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Ezekiel Elliott has run for many more yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).

Cons

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the NFL (just 80 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 5th-best group of DEs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards