Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Onta Foreman from EV Insight

D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards

Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (+110/-140).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-140) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D’Onta Foreman to accumulate 15.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
D’Onta Foreman has garnered 44.9% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
D’Onta Foreman has grinded out 58.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (79th percentile).

Cons

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB Sam Darnold in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.4 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Rushing Yards