Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashid Shaheed from EV Insight

Rashid ShaheedReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashid Shaheed’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-145/+106).

The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-145) after it opened @ 36.5 (-115).

Pros

The Saints are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 135.0) to WRs this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.2%) vs. wideouts this year (60.2%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards