Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to garner 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (58.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Cons

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.2 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been much less involved in his team’s pass game this year (11.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.5%).
Noah Fant has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards