Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for JuJu Smith-Schuster from EV Insight

JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards

Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-105/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-120) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the most offensive plays among all teams this week with 69.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to garner 7.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has compiled quite a few more receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Cons

The Chiefs are a big 12.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (82.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (93.0%).
The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 119.0) to WRs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wideouts this year, giving up 6.57 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the league.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.98 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards