Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Falcons vs. Cardinals
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to garner 8.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
- Drake London has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- The Falcons are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.4 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 60.7% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile among WRs
- Drake London has been among the bottom WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
