WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Ravens vs. Steelers
Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-115) after it opened @ 48.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
- THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (174.0) vs. wideouts this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Diontae Johnson has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
- Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 6.86 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile among WRs
- Diontae Johnson’s talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 2.80 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.97 mark last season.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
