Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Demarcus Robinson from EV Insight

Demarcus RobinsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Demarcus Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 29.5 (-110) after it opened @ 25.5 (-114).

Pros

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Demarcus Robinson has been a much bigger part of his team’s passing game this year (15.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (6.1%).
Demarcus Robinson has put up significantly more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
Demarcus Robinson has compiled a lot more receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the league (162.0) to wide receivers this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.6%) versus wideouts this year (60.6%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards