Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Titans vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (+100) after it opened @ 38.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.4% of his team’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
- Dalton Schultz has posted a colossal 40.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Dalton Schultz has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).
- Dalton Schultz’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 64.2%.
- Dalton Schultz’s pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, compiling just 6.86 yards-per-target vs a 8.45 mark last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
