Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Titans vs. Cowboys
Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 19.5 (-110) after it opened @ 25.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans will be forced to start backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.8 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the bottom tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against tight ends this year, allowing 5.97 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards
32
Receiving Yards
