Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mike White from EV Insight

Mike WhitePassing Yards

Right now, Mike White’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 253.5 (-110) after it opened @ 250.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mike White to attempt 38.4 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, surrendering 8.21 yards-per-target: the 7th-most in football.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 5th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have utilized play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
267
Passing Yards