Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenny PickettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Ravens vs. Steelers
Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 195.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 195.5 (-110) after it opened @ 176.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 3rd-most yards in football (267.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in football vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.3%).
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, surrendering 8.30 yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on just 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards
216
Passing Yards
