NBA Best Bets of the Day (12/2)
Alex Christenson
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Titans vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 227.5 yards (-115/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 227.5 (-110) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
- Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in football this year with a stellar 67.7% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
- Dak Prescott has been among the most efficient passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 7.66 yards-per-target while checking in at the 78th percentile.
- Opposing teams have passed for the most yards in football (300.0 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Dak Prescott has thrown for many fewer yards per game (242.0) this year than he did last year (288.0).
- The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
- The Dallas Cowboys have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards
229
Passing Yards
