Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 227.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 227.5 (-110) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in football this year with a stellar 67.7% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Dak Prescott has been among the most efficient passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 7.66 yards-per-target while checking in at the 78th percentile.
Opposing teams have passed for the most yards in football (300.0 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

Cons

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dak Prescott has thrown for many fewer yards per game (242.0) this year than he did last year (288.0).
The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards