Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Colt McCoyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Falcons vs. Cardinals
Right now, Colt McCoy’s passing yards prop is set at 212.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 212.5 (-113) after it opened @ 218.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to utilize backup QB Colt McCoy this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Cardinals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.1 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
- Colt McCoy’s throwing precision has declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 72.8% to 67.8%.
- Colt McCoy’s throwing efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a measly 6.14 yards-per-target vs a 7.44 figure last year.
- The Atlanta Falcons defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.61 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
254
Passing Yards
254
Passing Yards
