Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The Cowboys rank as the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 44.2% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Tony Pollard has been a more important option in his offense’s run game this season (44.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.9%).
- Tony Pollard has rushed for substantially more yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (43.0).
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in football this year in regard to run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards
60
Rushing Yards
