WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Trey McBrideReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-104/-118).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 18.5 (-118) after it opened @ 18.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Cons
- Trey McBride has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a measly 5.84 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile.
- Trey McBride has been among the weakest TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 3rd percentile.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) vs. TEs this year.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards
27
Receiving Yards
