Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-104/-118).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 18.5 (-118) after it opened @ 18.5 (-115).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

Cons

Trey McBride has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a measly 5.84 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile.
Trey McBride has been among the weakest TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 3rd percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards