Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashid Shaheed from EV Insight

Rashid ShaheedReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashid Shaheed’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-125) after it opened @ 29.5 (-110).

Pros

The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 8.76 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the league.
The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New Orleans Saints O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards