Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for MyCole Pruitt from EV Insight

MyCole PruittReceiving Yards

Right now, MyCole Pruitt’s receiving yards prop is set at 8.5 yards (-108/-112).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 8.5 (-112) after it opened @ 9.5 (-120).

Pros

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
MyCole Pruitt’s ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 79.2% to 83.0%.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (78%) versus tight ends this year (78.0%).
The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
MyCole Pruitt has been among the bottom pass-game TEs this year, averaging just 12.0 yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among TEs.

Projection

THE BLITZ
12
Receiving Yards