Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-130) after it opened @ 60.5 (-114).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

Cons

DeAndre Hopkins’s ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging just 2.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 figure last year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.6%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 7.26 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Receiving Yards