Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Daniel Bellinger from EV Insight

Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards

Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 29.5 (-114).

Pros

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (58.0) vs. TEs this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards