WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to accrue 7.2 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
- Dalton Schultz has been a big part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 18.8% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- Dalton Schultz has accrued a colossal 41.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.
- Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in football.
- Dalton Schultz has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).
- Dalton Schultz’s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.9% to 63.6%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
