Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 39.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Philadelphia Eagles will be starting backup QB Gardner Minshew in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Eagles are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Dallas Goedert has been among the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 61.0 yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Cons
- Dallas Goedert has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown good efficiency versus tight ends this year, conceding 5.60 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards
58
Receiving Yards
