Bettings

Fantasy
DVOA
DFS
Betting

NFL
MLB
NBA
PGA

Log In Sign Up Pricing

Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight background

Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

NFL

Bets

December 22, 2022

Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

author-image

FTN Staff

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 16

Panthers vs. Lions

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-142/+104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-142) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).

O/U 55.5
-115/-115

O/U 57.5
-110/-110

O/U 55.5
-142/104

O/U 60.5
-115/-115

Pros

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB Sam Darnold this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.6% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 7.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.9 plays per game.
D.J. Moore has compiled quite a few less receiving yards per game (47.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards

Previous NHL Prop Bets with Chris Meaney (12/22) Next Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashid Shaheed from EV Insight

Sign Up To Access Jeff Ratcliffe’s Rookie Guide!

Get 10% Off: Promo Code RATPACK