Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 70.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

Cons

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated play action on a mere 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards