Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Zach WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Jets vs. Jaguars
Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 187.5 yards (-108/-127).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 187.5 (-127) after it opened @ 208.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in football.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (257.0 per game) versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
- The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- Zach Wilson has been among the bottom QBs in the league this year, averaging 190.0 yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile.
- Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate QBs in football this year with a 57.1% Completion%, ranking in the 3rd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
189
Passing Yards
189
Passing Yards
