Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight

Zach WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 187.5 yards (-108/-127).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 187.5 (-127) after it opened @ 208.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in football.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (257.0 per game) versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the bottom QBs in the league this year, averaging 190.0 yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile.
Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate QBs in football this year with a 57.1% Completion%, ranking in the 3rd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
189
Passing Yards