NFL Week 5 FTN Staff Bets
FTN Staff
Tyler HuntleyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Ravens vs. Falcons
Right now, Tyler Huntley’s passing yards prop is set at 155.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 155.5 (-110) after it opened @ 170.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-most yards in the NFL (261.0 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
- The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, allowing 8.19 yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.
- The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 6th-worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
- The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it’s a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 45.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
156
Passing Yards
156
Passing Yards
