Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Trace McSorleyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Trace McSorley’s passing yards prop is set at 191.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 191.5 (-105) after it opened @ 189.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 210.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, yielding 6.90 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in football.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
265
Passing Yards
265
Passing Yards
